Daniel Marsh Posted July 17, 2020 Group: Diamond Member Followers: 5 Topic Count: 126 Topics Per Day: 0.03 Content Count: 2,086 Content Per Day: 0.57 Reputation: 500 Days Won: 0 Joined: 04/03/2014 Status: Offline Birthday: 09/15/1956 Share Posted July 17, 2020 https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/ This is an updated map of the virus in the US based on ten people being at an event. I am happy to see that where I live it is only 26% ---- the next county over is 56% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knotical Posted July 17, 2020 Group: Advanced Member Followers: 3 Topic Count: 12 Topics Per Day: 0.01 Content Count: 183 Content Per Day: 0.13 Reputation: 106 Days Won: 0 Joined: 05/17/2020 Status: Offline Share Posted July 17, 2020 I would take this information with a grain of salt. Just looking at my local area this map is saying that my county, which has a smaller population than the one next to us, has a higher likelihood of getting the virus. Both of which have nowhere near the population of the bigger cities in this state, yet we have the same percentage as those. Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shortangel Posted July 18, 2020 Group: Senior Member Followers: 5 Topic Count: 48 Topics Per Day: 0.03 Content Count: 839 Content Per Day: 0.44 Reputation: 634 Days Won: 0 Joined: 02/12/2019 Status: Offline Share Posted July 18, 2020 covid cases are riseing here in Eastern OR, it's getting kind of bad here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knotical Posted July 18, 2020 Group: Advanced Member Followers: 3 Topic Count: 12 Topics Per Day: 0.01 Content Count: 183 Content Per Day: 0.13 Reputation: 106 Days Won: 0 Joined: 05/17/2020 Status: Offline Share Posted July 18, 2020 2 hours ago, ChickenCoop said: One of the smallest counties in New Jersey has the most cases and the most deaths. Almost 1,900 dead now. @Knotical Do you really believe those numbers? Even Texas has been discovered to be inflating the number of positive cases and total deaths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
missmuffet Posted July 18, 2020 Group: Royal Member Followers: 34 Topic Count: 1,991 Topics Per Day: 0.48 Content Count: 48,689 Content Per Day: 11.80 Reputation: 30,343 Days Won: 226 Joined: 01/11/2013 Status: Offline Share Posted July 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, ChickenCoop said: Yes I know they are true. Also the fact that I barely survived Covid19 and have been left with serious heart damage and lung damage and can barely function and would have been better off dying in spite of the fact a year ago I was mountain climbing on a regular basis before returning from Asia, I don't want to argue about Covid19. Were you in very good health before you got the Covid-19? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
missmuffet Posted July 18, 2020 Group: Royal Member Followers: 34 Topic Count: 1,991 Topics Per Day: 0.48 Content Count: 48,689 Content Per Day: 11.80 Reputation: 30,343 Days Won: 226 Joined: 01/11/2013 Status: Offline Share Posted July 18, 2020 1 minute ago, ChickenCoop said: Yes. I was running all over a huge university campus up and down very steep hills (mountains actually) up and down many flights of stairs etc. Often running across campus to make it between classes that were far apart. You are young and were attending a college? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Marsh Posted July 29, 2020 Group: Diamond Member Followers: 5 Topic Count: 126 Topics Per Day: 0.03 Content Count: 2,086 Content Per Day: 0.57 Reputation: 500 Days Won: 0 Joined: 04/03/2014 Status: Offline Birthday: 09/15/1956 Author Share Posted July 29, 2020 On 7/17/2020 at 3:34 PM, Knotical said: I would take this information with a grain of salt. Just looking at my local area this map is saying that my county, which has a smaller population than the one next to us, has a higher likelihood of getting the virus. Both of which have nowhere near the population of the bigger cities in this state, yet we have the same percentage as those. Ridiculous. The stats more to do with density of populations, people not taking virus seriously, age differences and where hospitals, nursing homes and Lakes are located. Also, cities do have the protestors and that is a factore like it or not. Livingston County is more Rural than Oakland County which is why I contrasted them. "Population density definition is - the number of people living in each unit of area (such as a square mile)" https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/population density "This estimation can be applied to large areas with population mixing in general activities. For crowds with unusually large densities (e.g., transportation terminals, stadiums, or mass gatherings), the lack of organized social contact structure deviates the physical contacts towards a special case of the spatial contact model – the dynamics of kinetic gas molecule collision. In this case, an ideal gas model with van der Waals correction fits well; existing movement observation data and the contact rate between individuals is estimated using kinetic theory. A complete picture of contact rate scaling with population density may help clarify the definition of transmission rates in heterogeneous, large-scale spatial systems." https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0025556413001235 As my niece explained to her friend, "A car full of clowns is more likely to get everyone infected than a car with one person in it." "So it makes sense, in a syllogistic sort of way, that the converse might also seem true: If people get sick in a city, the planners must somehow be at fault. When 193,000 people test positive for Covid-19 and nearly 16,000 die in New York City, the densest major urban concentration in the United States, maybe the closely woven fabric of the city itself is to blame." https://www.wired.com/story/how-does-a-virus-spread-in-cities-its-a-problem-of-scale/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6787790/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4614486/ "When these high-risk individuals end up in critical care, they are more likely to stay there for an extended period of time, increasing the risk for exposure to secondary bacterial infections. An estimated one in seven COVID-19 patients will develop a secondary infection while hospitalized. Further, a separate study found that only about 50 percent of patient deaths were due to the original viral infection, while the other 50 percent were caused by subsequent secondary infections." https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/covid-19-patients-need-to-be-tested-for-bacteria-and-fungi-not-just-the-coronavirus/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/disaster-management-is-too-white-official-tells-congress/ https://www.uta.edu/math/_docs/preprint/2014/rep2014_05.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Marsh Posted July 29, 2020 Group: Diamond Member Followers: 5 Topic Count: 126 Topics Per Day: 0.03 Content Count: 2,086 Content Per Day: 0.57 Reputation: 500 Days Won: 0 Joined: 04/03/2014 Status: Offline Birthday: 09/15/1956 Author Share Posted July 29, 2020 On 7/18/2020 at 1:42 PM, Knotical said: Do you really believe those numbers? Even Texas has been discovered to be inflating the number of positive cases and total deaths. I am on my sixth round with a different strain of the virus. Many of the models of diseases spreading is based on one of the models I posted where the number of people who can get the virus "burns out' or gets smaller. The virus is mutating into various strains. https://coronavirusexplained.ukri.org/en/article/cad0013/ Mutated COVID-19 Viral Strain in U.S. and Europe 10 Times More Contagious than Original Strain https://www.biospace.com/article/mutated-covid-19-viral-strain-in-us-and-europe-much-more-contagious/ COVID-19 Will Mutate — What That Means for a Vaccine "In total, the researchers identified 14 strains of SARS-CoV-2 and released their findings to help those working on vaccines and treatments." https://www.healthline.com/health-news/what-to-know-about-mutation-and-covid-19#More-infectious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Marsh Posted July 29, 2020 Group: Diamond Member Followers: 5 Topic Count: 126 Topics Per Day: 0.03 Content Count: 2,086 Content Per Day: 0.57 Reputation: 500 Days Won: 0 Joined: 04/03/2014 Status: Offline Birthday: 09/15/1956 Author Share Posted July 29, 2020 The good news to the 14 strains of the virus is one may become the vaccine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Marsh Posted July 29, 2020 Group: Diamond Member Followers: 5 Topic Count: 126 Topics Per Day: 0.03 Content Count: 2,086 Content Per Day: 0.57 Reputation: 500 Days Won: 0 Joined: 04/03/2014 Status: Offline Birthday: 09/15/1956 Author Share Posted July 29, 2020 On 7/18/2020 at 11:23 AM, ChickenCoop said: One of the smallest counties in New Jersey has the most cases and the most deaths. Almost 1,900 dead now. @Knotical his post will be updated as news about the coronavirus in New Jersey breaks. July 29 New Cases: 489 Total Cases: 180,766 New Deaths: 18 Total Confirmed Deaths: 13,923 Total Probable Deaths: 1,875 https://www.njtvonline.org/news/uncategorized/tracking-the-coronavirus-in-new-jersey/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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