Tristen Posted February 19, 2023 Group: Worthy Ministers Followers: 9 Topic Count: 3 Topics Per Day: 0.00 Content Count: 2,380 Content Per Day: 0.63 Reputation: 1,361 Days Won: 1 Joined: 01/26/2014 Status: Offline Share Posted February 19, 2023 On 2/6/2023 at 3:30 AM, Mr. M said: It has recently been stated in a discussion found in the controversial issues forum regarding Carbon influences on climate change by @Slibhin that an 80% consensus in science constitutes overwhelming support Consensus is not, nor has ever been, a scientific metric. Appeals to consensus are, in fact, logic fallacies (technical breaches of logic). The consensus may be the result of rational arguments, but it's only those arguments which logically contribute legitimate confidence in a conclusion. Any resulting consensus is utterly irrelevant to legitimate confidence in a conclusion. Even if 100% of people (including scientists) agreed on a particular conclusion, we could all be wrong. Therefore, consensus itself (in the absence of provided supporting arguments) is logically meaningless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Barbarian Posted February 22, 2023 Group: Royal Member Followers: 3 Topic Count: 27 Topics Per Day: 0.00 Content Count: 5,082 Content Per Day: 0.67 Reputation: 974 Days Won: 0 Joined: 06/20/2003 Status: Offline Share Posted February 22, 2023 (edited) The consensus of experts in any field can sometimes be wrong. It is almost always better than anything else available. The race is not to the swift or the battle to the strong, but that's where the smart money is. Still, I'd prefer to look at the evidence. The consensus of specialists as to whether or not I need a medical procedure is certainly persuasive; I still ask for more information. Edited February 22, 2023 by The Barbarian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts